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Soccer

Over vs Under: who will win?

>99% say Under wins

Down 46 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 5 at 3:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 play a soccer match, scheduled for November 5 at 3:00 PM ET.

Possible results

  • OverOver wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique de Marseille combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.

  • UnderUnder wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    The combined total is less than 4.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 7.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 9.5¢ to 2¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: UEFA official22m ago

  • The price fell 11.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 20.5¢ to 9.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: UEFA official52m ago

  • The price fell 26.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 52¢ to 25.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: UEFA official1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by UEFA official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on UEFA official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET.

Source named: UEFA official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com.”
  • “If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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