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Soccer

Real Madrid CF vs AEK: who will win?

>99% say AEK wins

Down 20 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 4 at 12:45 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 99¢ means about a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 4 at 12:45 PM ET.

Possible results

  • Real Madrid CFReal Madrid CF wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Real Madrid CF win the game by 4 or more goals.

  • AEKAEK wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    AEK beats Real Madrid CF, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 12 points in about 15 minutes, from 12.5¢ to 0.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: UEFA official9m ago

  • The price fell 7.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 14.5¢ to 7.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: UEFA official44m ago

  • The price fell 24.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 32¢ to 7.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: UEFA official1h ago

  • The price rose 3 points in about 15 minutes, from 19.5¢ to 22.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: UEFA official2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by UEFA official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on UEFA official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 12:45 PM ET.

Source named: UEFA official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "AEK".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5): explained simply · MarketWeaver