Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2026.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
Possible results
There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.
The one trap›
If the occurrence or timing of a potentially qualifying entry cannot be determined on the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market may remain open for three calendar days (ET) after the specified date.
Show details for experienced traders
The details
No live order bookRule note: the announcement countsNo single official source
Chance the crowd gives Yes
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no live price
Yes orders vs No orders near the price
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no order list read
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the official announcement
Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)
Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.
Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if Syrian troops enter any part of Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.”
“The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Syria, including the Syrian Ministry of Defense; however, a consensus…”
“If Syrian troop entry into the specified territory is not established by this market's resolution sources by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59…”
