Other

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 13?

89% say Down

Down 42 points today.

Decided by Pyth 1-minute candles, by November 13, 2026, 4:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 89¢ means about an 89% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

UpThe result is “Up”.11%
What has to happen
The Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on November 13, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
DownThe result is “Down”.89%
What has to happen
The Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on November 13, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.

The one trap

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.

See all fine print

If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Up 11%Down 89%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 36 points in about 15 minutes, from 48.5¢ to 12.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Pyth 1m candle38m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by Pyth 1m candle

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Pyth 1-minute candles (pyth.network). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Fri, Nov 13, 2026, 9:30 AM ET.

Source named: Pyth 1m candle (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
8m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.”
“If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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