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Soccer

Over vs Under: who will win?

>99% say Over wins

Up 25 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 2 at 2:45 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Atalanta BC and Parma Calcio 1913: 1st Half O/U 0.5 play a soccer match, scheduled for November 2 at 2:45 PM ET.

Possible results

  • OverOver wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    Atalanta BC and Parma Calcio 1913 combine to score 1 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time).

  • UnderUnder wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    The combined first-half total is less than 1 goals.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 76.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 23.5¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Serie A official56m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by Serie A official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Serie A official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Mon, Nov 2, 2026, 2:45 PM ET.

Source named: Serie A official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.

    26m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
  • “If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: 1st Half O/U 0.5: explained simply · MarketWeaver