US Elections

Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027?

6% say yes

Up 1 point today.

Decided by official government/military statements plus a credible reporting.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 6¢ means about a 6% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Yes wins if: Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date ().

Possible results

Yes6%
What has to happen
Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
NoIt doesn’t happen.94%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 6%No 94%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: needs formal signingNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Medium (35/100)

settles on the date it takes effect

Official source: settlement runs on Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Press announcements or committee votes do not settle Yes; formal signing or enactment before the deadline is required. Deadline: Wed, Mar 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the…”
“The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may…”
“An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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