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Solana & Alts

Puffpaw above $200M one day after launch?

70% say yes

Up 48 points today.

Decided by puffpaw.xyz, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 70¢ means about a 70% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Yes wins if: The Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.

Possible results

  • YesWhat the question describes actually happens.70%

    What has to happen

    The Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.30%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 73.5¢ to 70.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: puffpaw.xyz17m ago

  • The price fell 15.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 77.5¢ to 62¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: puffpaw.xyz47m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by puffpaw.xyz
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Named URL in rules: puffpaw.xyz. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: puffpaw.xyz (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1…”
  • “The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.”
  • “If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?: explained simply · MarketWeaver