Solana & Alts

Predict.fun above $1.5B one day after launch?

51% say yes

Up 15 points today.

Decided by predict.fun, by December 31, 2027.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 51¢ means about a 51% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Yes wins if: The Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.

Possible results

YesWhat the question describes actually happens.51%
What has to happen
The Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch.
NoIt doesn’t happen.49%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 51%No 49%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 10.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 62.5¢ to 52.2¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: predict.fun1h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by predict.fun

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Named URL in rules: predict.fun. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Fri, Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: predict.fun (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading picked up (about 3 times the usual hourly amount).
8m ago
Trading picked up (about 3 times the usual hourly amount).
39m ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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