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NFL

Dolphins vs Patriots: who will win?

56% say the Patriots win

Up 28 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 56¢ means about a 56% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM ET.

Possible results

  • DolphinsThe Dolphins win.44%

    What has to happen

    The Dolphins win the game by 4 or more points.

  • PatriotsThe Patriots win.56%

    What has to happen

    Patriots beat Dolphins, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 27 points in about 15 minutes, from 16.5¢ to 43.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NFL official (implied)1m ago

  • The price rose 3 points in about 15 minutes, from 14.5¢ to 17.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NFL official (implied)1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NFL official (implied)
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 4:25 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NFL official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Spread: Dolphins (-3.5): explained simply · MarketWeaver