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NFL

Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown

25% say yes

Down 1 point today.

Decided when a champion is named, by November 1, 2026, 1:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 25¢ means about a 25% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner. Yes wins if: Jake Ferguson scores 1 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game.

Possible results

  • YesThe team or player named in the question finishes as the champion.25%

    What has to happen

    Jake Ferguson scores 1 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game.

  • NoSomeone else wins the title.75%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by November 1, 2026, 1:00 PM ET.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 42 points in about 15 minutes, from 8¢ to 50¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NFL official (implied)9m ago

  • The price rose 41 points in about 15 minutes, from 9¢ to 50¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NFL official (implied)39m ago

  • The price fell 36.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 50¢ to 13.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NFL official (implied)1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by NFL official (implied)
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 1:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NFL official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “In the upcoming NFL football game between Cardinals and Cowboys, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown: explained simply · MarketWeaver