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NBA

Thunder vs Mavericks: who will win?

68% say Thunder wins

Down 15 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 28 at 9:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 68¢ means about a 68% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Thunder and Mavericks play a basketball game, scheduled for October 28 at 9:30 PM ET.

Possible results

  • ThunderThunder wins.68%

    What has to happen

    The Thunder win.

  • MavericksThe Mavericks win.32%

    What has to happen

    The Mavericks win.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 9.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 74.5¢ to 65.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NBA official (implied)2h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NBA official (implied)
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 9:30 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NBA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 4 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading picked up (about 5 times the usual hourly amount).

    6m ago

  • Trading picked up (about 3 times the usual hourly amount).

    36m ago

  • Trading picked up (about 4 times the usual hourly amount).

    1h ago

  • Trading picked up (about 9 times the usual hourly amount).

    3h ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 9:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

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