NBA

Warriors vs Heat: who will win?

62% say Heat wins

Down 13 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 62¢ means about a 62% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

Possible results

WarriorsThe Warriors win.38%
What has to happen
The Warriors win the game by 8 or more points.
HeatHeat wins.62%
What has to happen
The game ends in a tie.

The one trap

If the game ends in a tie, the market settles as "Heat".

See all fine print

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

Price chart

Warriors 38%Heat 62%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 7.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 47.5¢ to 40¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
No official data feed36m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo source named

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 4 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
6m ago
Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Heat".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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