NBA

Heat vs Hawks: who will win?

57% say Heat wins

Up 21 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 28 at 7:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 57¢ means about a 57% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 28 at 7:00 PM ET.

Possible results

HeatHeat wins.57%
What has to happen
The Heat win the game by 3 or more points.
HawksThe Hawks win.43%
What has to happen
The game ends in a tie.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Heat 57%Hawks 43%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 19.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 37¢ to 56.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: NBA official (implied)9m ago

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The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NBA official (implied)

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NBA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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