NBA

Mavericks vs Cavaliers: who will win?

56% say the Mavericks win

Up 14 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 56¢ means about a 56% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Mavericks and Cavaliers play a basketball game.

Possible results

MavericksThe Mavericks win.56%
What has to happen
The Mavericks win.
CavaliersThe Cavaliers win.44%
What has to happen
The Cavaliers win.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Mavericks 56%Cavaliers 44%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 51.5¢ to 54.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
No official data feed49m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo source named

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 7:30 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 12 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.
19m ago
Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago
Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago
Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
3h ago
Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.
3h ago
Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
4h ago
Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
5h ago
Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
5h ago
Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
8h ago
Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
9h ago
Trading rose to about 16 times the usual hourly amount.
9h ago
Trading rose to about 16 times the usual hourly amount.
10h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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