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Soccer

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?

>99% say Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins

Up 60 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 31, 2026.

Possible results

  • Rayo Vallecano de MadridRayo Vallecano de Madrid wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, under the rules.

  • RC Celta de VigoRC Celta de Vigo wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    RC Celta de Vigo wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 33.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 66.5¢ to 99.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: La Liga official32m ago

  • The price rose 31.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 37.5¢ to 68.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: La Liga official1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by La Liga official
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on La Liga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: La Liga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • This market joined the most traded markets.

    2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
  • “The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?: explained simply · MarketWeaver