Soccer

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?

48% say Athletic Club wins

Up 3 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 1, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 48¢ means about a 48% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 1, 2026.

Possible results

Athletic ClubAthletic Club wins.48%
What has to happen
Athletic Club wins, under the rules.
Real Sociedad de FútbolReal Sociedad de Fútbol wins.27%
What has to happen
Real Sociedad de Fútbol wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".

Price chart

Yes 48%No 52%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by La Liga official

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on La Liga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: La Liga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 3 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 13 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago
Trading rose to about 13 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago
Trading rose to about 21 times the usual hourly amount.
3h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If Athletic Club wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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