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Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31?

39% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 39¢ means about a 39% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.39%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.61%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 43¢ to 39¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

  • The price fell 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 47.5¢ to 43.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus3h ago

  • The price rose 6 points in about 15 minutes, from 42.5¢ to 48.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus5h ago

  • The price fell 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 51¢ to 46¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus9h ago

  • The price rose 6.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 45¢ to 51.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus12h ago

  • The price fell 7.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 53.5¢ to 46¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus13h ago

  • The price fell 6.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 63¢ to 56.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus17h ago

  • The price rose 9.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 57.5¢ to 67¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus17h ago

  • The price fell 17.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 68.5¢ to 51.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus18h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Medium (35/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 6 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.

    2h ago

  • Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.

    4h ago

  • Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.

    4h ago

  • Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.

    12h ago

  • Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.

    16h ago

  • Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.

    16h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Jensen Huang publicly acknowledges a romantic or sexual…”
  • “The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or their official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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