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Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-11-03?

<1% say yes

Down 57 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Zweigen Kanazawa wins.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.<1%
What has to happen
Zweigen Kanazawa wins.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.>99%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market settles as "No".

Price chart

Yes <1%No >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 7.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 7¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago
The price fell 43.8 points in about 15 minutes, from 44.5¢ to 0.8¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Tue, Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If Zweigen Kanazawa wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“If a result is awarded by Thursday, November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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