Other

Will Ōita Trinita win on 2026-11-03?

20% say Ōita Trinita wins

Down 27 points today.

Decided by official statistics of the governing body / event organizer, by November 3, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 20¢ means about a 20% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 3, 2026), the answer is No.

Possible results

Vanraure Hachinohe FCVanraure Hachinohe FC wins.24%
What has to happen
Vanraure Hachinohe FC wins, under the rules.
Ōita TrinitaŌita Trinita wins.20%
What has to happen
Ōita Trinita wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".

Price chart

Yes 18%No 82%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 9.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 29¢ to 19.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats13m ago
The price fell 8.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 39.5¢ to 31¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats59m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Tue, Nov 3, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If Ōita Trinita wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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