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Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-31?

5% say Shōnan Bellmāre wins

Down 28 points today.

Decided by official statistics of the governing body / event organizer, by October 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 5¢ means about a 5% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 31, 2026), the answer is No.

Possible results

  • Hokkaidō Consadole SapporoHokkaidō Consadole Sapporo wins.75%

    What has to happen

    Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo wins, under the rules.

  • Shōnan BellmāreShōnan Bellmāre wins.5%

    What has to happen

    Shōnan Bellmāre wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 9.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 15¢ to 5.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats8m ago

  • The price fell 6 points in about 15 minutes, from 21.5¢ to 15.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats44m ago

  • The price fell 21.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 38.5¢ to 17.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, Yes orders vs No orders in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If Shōnan Bellmāre wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
  • “The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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