Other

Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich: who will win?

>99% say Matt Ponchet wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists November 5, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 12, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Matt Ponchet and Martin Krumich play a match at the M25 Sheffield, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 7:30 AM .

Possible results

Matt PonchetMatt Ponchet wins and moves on.>99%
What has to happen
Matt Ponchet advances against Martin Krumich.
Martin KrumichMartin Krumich wins and moves on.<1%
What has to happen
Martin Krumich advances against Matt Ponchet.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 12, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print

If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Matt Ponchet >99%Martin Krumich <1%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 96.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 3.5¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus59m ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Oct 29, 2026, 7:30 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading picked up (about 15 times the usual hourly amount).
28m ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the tennis match between Matt Ponchet and Martin Krumich in the M25 Sheffield, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matt Ponchet' if Matt Ponchet advances against Martin Krumich. This market will resolve to 'Martin Krumich' if Martin Krumich advances against Matt Ponchet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Big trades across all markets