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Artur Kukasian vs Danila Folkheims: who will win?

>99% say Artur Kukasian wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 17, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Artur Kukasian and Danila Folkheims play a match in M15 Sharm ElSheikh, scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 3:00 AM .

Possible results

  • Artur KukasianArtur Kukasian wins and moves on.>99%

    What has to happen

    Artur Kukasian advances against Danila Folkheims.

  • Danila FolkheimsThe Danila Folkheims win and moves on.<1%

    What has to happen

    Danila Folkheims advances against Artur Kukasian.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 17, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print
  • If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
  • If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 43.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 56.5¢ to 99.6¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago

  • The price rose 44.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 38¢ to 82.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Nov 3, 2026, 3:00 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 11 times the usual hourly amount.

    35m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF).”
  • “If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 17, 2026, 11:59…”
  • “If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Artur Kukasian vs Danila Folkheims: explained simply · MarketWeaver