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Stefan Horia Haita vs Vuk Radjenovic: who will win?

>99% say Vuk Radjenovic wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 25, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Stefan Horia Haita and Vuk Radjenovic play a match in M15 Antalya, scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 1:30 AM .

Possible results

  • Stefan Horia HaitaStefan Horia Haita wins and moves on.<1%

    What has to happen

    Stefan Horia Haita advances against Vuk Radjenovic.

  • Vuk RadjenovicVuk Radjenovic wins and moves on.>99%

    What has to happen

    Vuk Radjenovic advances against Stefan Horia Haita.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 25, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print
  • If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
  • If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 39.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 39.6¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus38m ago

  • The price fell 44.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 47¢ to 3¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 11, 2026, 1:30 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.

    8m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF).”
  • “If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59…”
  • “If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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M15 Antalya: Stefan Horia Haita vs Vuk Radjenovic: explained simply · MarketWeaver