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Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Garrett Johns: who will win?

60% say the Garrett Johns win

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 27, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 60¢ means about a 60% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez and Garrett Johns play a match in M25 Vale do Lobo, scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM .

Possible results

  • Mario Gonzalez FernandezMario Gonzalez Fernandez wins and moves on.40%

    What has to happen

    Mario Gonzalez Fernandez advances against Garrett Johns.

  • Garrett JohnsThe Garrett Johns win and moves on.60%

    What has to happen

    Garrett Johns advances against Mario Gonzalez Fernandez.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 27, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print
  • If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
  • If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 23.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 16¢ to 39.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus4m ago

  • The price fell 48 points in about 15 minutes, from 86.5¢ to 38.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus52m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Fri, Nov 13, 2026, 5:00 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF).”
  • “If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59…”
  • “If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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M25 Vale do Lobo: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Garrett Johns: explained simply · MarketWeaver