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Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Source: Official statements + credible-reporting consensus · End date Oct 27, 7:59 PM ET · Live market: Israeli election results in a hung parliament? · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

The short version

How to read this page

Traders give Yes about 38% on “Israeli election results in a hung parliament”.

It fell 14 points today, and there are more buy orders than sell orders waiting near the price right now.

Low surprise risk: the named source’s announcement settles it.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

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The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
Announced

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 7:59 PM ET (venue end date. Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting.

Source named: Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, chart & buyers vs sellersPro

Pro shows the exact price, the change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price history and every recorded move here.

See Pro

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Source: Official statements + credible-reporting consensus
Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Low 20
1.
Who settles it (official source)
Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed)
2.
Deadline and time zone
Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 7:59 PM ET (venue end date; settlement waits on race calls, hard deadline Wed, Jun 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET) America/New_York
3.
What counts as Yes
AnnouncedAn official announcement is enough; implementation is not required. Rule text: "…olved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government. If a government is formed follow…"
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket settles on a consensus of credible reporting; certified official results can lag media calls by weeks. Venues that settle only on certified results can resolve later, or differently if recounts change the outcome.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset. An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government. If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called. If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?: resolution rules & settlement traps · MarketWeaver