Other

Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?

11% say yes

Down 13 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 11¢ means about an 11% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: The Houthis capture Taiz, Yemen between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.11%
What has to happen
The Houthis capture Taiz, Yemen between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.89%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

If the occurrence or timing of a potentially qualifying capture cannot be determined on the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market may remain open for three calendar days (ET) after the specified date.

Price chart

Yes 11%No 89%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 3.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 15¢ to 11.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago
The price rose 3 points in about 15 minutes, from 13.5¢ to 16.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: needs confirmed reportsNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A single outlet’s breaking report does not settle Yes; it needs several sources agreeing or official confirmation. Deadline: Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
25s ago
Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.
30m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis capture Taiz, Yemen between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.”
“If Houthi control as defined above is not confirmed by this market’s resolution sources by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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