Other

GTA VI released by October 31?

<1% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by October 31, 2026, under the rules.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 31, 2026), the answer is No. Yes wins if: It Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.<1%
What has to happen
It Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.>99%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by October 31, 2026.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes <1%No >99%

-Yes chance

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo source named

Fine-print risk

Medium (35/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

Big trades across all markets