Motorsport
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
1% say Lewis Hamilton wins
Down 36 points today.
Decided when a champion is named, by November 8, 2026.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 1¢ means about a 1% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.
The short version
It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.
Possible results
Max VerstappenMax Verstappen wins.>99%
What has to happen
Max Verstappen wins, under the rules.
Lewis HamiltonLewis Hamilton wins.1%
What has to happen
Lewis Hamilton wins, under the rules.
Fernando AlonsoFernando Alonso wins.<1%
What has to happen
Fernando Alonso wins, under the rules.
Sergio PerezSergio Perez wins.<1%
What has to happen
Sergio Perez wins, under the rules.
Show 19 more results
Esteban OconEsteban Ocon wins.<1%
What has to happen
Esteban Ocon wins, under the rules.
Carlos Sainz Jr.Carlos Sainz Jr. wins.<1%
What has to happen
Carlos Sainz Jr. wins, under the rules.
Nico HulkenbergNico Hulkenberg wins.<1%
What has to happen
Nico Hulkenberg wins, under the rules.
Valtteri BottasValtteri Bottas wins.<1%
What has to happen
Valtteri Bottas wins, under the rules.
Oscar PiastriOscar Piastri wins.<1%
What has to happen
Oscar Piastri wins, under the rules.
Gabriel BortoletoGabriel Bortoleto wins.<1%
What has to happen
Gabriel Bortoleto wins, under the rules.
Lance StrollLance Stroll wins.<1%
What has to happen
Lance Stroll wins, under the rules.
Yuki TsunodaYuki Tsunoda wins.<1%
What has to happen
Yuki Tsunoda wins, under the rules.
Franco ColapintoFranco Colapinto wins.<1%
What has to happen
Franco Colapinto wins, under the rules.
Charles LeclercCharles Leclerc wins.<1%
What has to happen
Charles Leclerc wins, under the rules.
Pierre GaslyPierre Gasly wins.<1%
What has to happen
Pierre Gasly wins, under the rules.
Alexander AlbonAlexander Albon wins.<1%
What has to happen
Alexander Albon wins, under the rules.
Lando NorrisLando Norris wins.<1%
What has to happen
Lando Norris wins, under the rules.
Kimi AntonelliKimi Antonelli wins.<1%
What has to happen
Kimi Antonelli wins, under the rules.
Oliver BearmanOliver Bearman wins.<1%
What has to happen
Oliver Bearman wins, under the rules.
George RussellGeorge Russell wins.<1%
What has to happen
George Russell wins, under the rules.
Arvid LindbladArvid Lindblad wins.<1%
What has to happen
Arvid Lindblad wins, under the rules.
Isack HadjarIsack Hadjar wins.<1%
What has to happen
Isack Hadjar wins, under the rules.
Liam LawsonLiam Lawson wins.<1%
What has to happen
Liam Lawson wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
If the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 8, 2026, the market settles as “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race.
Price chart
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Recorded moves
The price fell 24.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 25¢ to 0.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
No official data feed19m ago
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The price rose 12 points in about 15 minutes, from 6.5¢ to 18.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
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The price fell 23 points in about 15 minutes, from 31¢ to 8¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
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