Ethereum

Ethereum Up or Down on October 28?

67% say Down

Down 18 points today.

Decided by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles, by October 28, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 67¢ means about a 67% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the ETH/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

UpThe result is “Up”.33%
What has to happen
The "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 28 '26 12:00 ET candle.
DownThe result is “Down”.67%
What has to happen
The "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 28 '26 12:00 ET candle.

The one trap

It uses the Binance price at 12:00 ET, not prices from other exchanges or websites.

See all fine print

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Up 33%Down 67%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 38.5¢ to 33.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)6m ago
The price fell 12.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 48¢ to 35.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)37m ago
The price fell 10.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 59.5¢ to 49¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)1h ago

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Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)

Fine-print risk

Low (0/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

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