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Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-14?

>99% say CD Castellón wins

Up 57 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by November 14, 2026, 8:00 AM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 14, 2026, 8:00 AM ET), the answer is No.

Possible results

  • CD CastellónCD Castellón wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    CD Castellón wins.

  • Real Valladolid CFReal Valladolid CF wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Real Valladolid CF wins.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market settles as "No".
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 3.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 96.5¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago

  • The price rose 54 points in about 15 minutes, from 34.5¢ to 88.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

  • The price fell 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 43.5¢ to 39.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus3h ago

  • The price fell 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 45.5¢ to 42.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus3h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.

    56m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If CD Castellón wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
  • “If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
  • “If a result is awarded by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-14?: explained simply · MarketWeaver