Other

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-31?

73% say AFC Ajax wins

Up 14 points today.

Decided by official statistics of the governing body / event organizer, by October 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 73¢ means about a 73% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 31, 2026), the answer is No.

Possible results

AFC AjaxAFC Ajax wins.73%
What has to happen
AFC Ajax wins, under the rules.
AZAZ wins.7%
What has to happen
AZ wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".

Price chart

Yes 73%No 27%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 18.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 51.5¢ to 69.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
10m ago
Trading rose to about 11 times the usual hourly amount.
41m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If AFC Ajax wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get the daily fine-print note.

We’ll tell you when new features open. Never shared or rented.