Soccer

Over vs Under: who will win?

>99% say Over wins

Up 14 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 7 at 12:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 0.5 play a soccer match, scheduled for November 7 at 12:30 PM ET.

Possible results

OverOver wins.>99%
What has to happen
Manchester City FC score 1 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
UnderUnder wins.<1%
What has to happen
Manchester City FC score less than 1 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Over >99%Under <1%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 25.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 75¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Premier League official4m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Premier League official

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Premier League official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 12:30 PM ET.

Source named: Premier League official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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