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Soccer

Arsenal FC vs Liverpool FC: who will win?

>99% say Liverpool FC wins

Down 6 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 1 at 11:30 AM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 1 at 11:30 AM ET.

Possible results

  • Arsenal FCArsenal FC wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Arsenal FC win the game by 3 or more goals.

  • Liverpool FCLiverpool FC wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    Liverpool FC beats Arsenal FC, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 6.6 points in about 15 minutes, from 7¢ to 0.4¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Premier League official23m ago

  • The price fell 4 points in about 15 minutes, from 9.5¢ to 5.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Premier League official54m ago

  • The price fell 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 13.5¢ to 10.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Premier League official2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Premier League official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Premier League official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 11:30 AM ET.

Source named: Premier League official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Liverpool FC".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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