MarketWeaver

Soccer

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

<1% say yes

Down 28 points today.

Decided when a champion is named, by October 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

  • YesThe team or player named in the question finishes as the champion.<1%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by October 31, 2026.

  • NoSomeone else wins the title.>99%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by October 31, 2026.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market settles as "Yes".
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 21.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 23¢ to 2¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Premier League official27m ago

  • The price fell 10 points in about 15 minutes, from 31.5¢ to 21.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Premier League official2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Premier League official
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Premier League official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Premier League official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
  • “The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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