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Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com

The short version

How to read this page

There is no live price for this market yet, so the crowd’s view is not available.

Low surprise risk: only the tracker’s count inside the set window counts.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

Polymarket prices shown here come from Polymarket’s international site (polymarket.com), which is not available to US residents. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated venue with its own prices. Prediction market access depends on where you live. Follow each venue’s terms and location rules, and do not use a VPN or other tools to get around them.

The details

No live order bookRule note: tracker count onlySettled by xtracker.polymarket.com
Chance the crowd gives Yes
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no live price
Buyers vs sellers near the price
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no order book read
Fine-print risk
Low (0/100)
Tracker Counter Window
  • Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
  • Official source: settlement runs on Polymarket X Tracker "Post Counter" (xtracker.polymarket.com); X itself only as a secondary source. Counts posts in near real time. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the venue tracker count inside the stated window settles this; the raw count on the X profile does not. Deadline: Counting window: Fri, Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET → Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Polymarket resolves strictly on xtracker.polymarket.com (deleted posts count if live ~5 minutes.

Source named: xtracker.polymarket.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, chart & buyers vs sellersPro

This card is not linked to a tracked market.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com
Fine-print risk: Low (0/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Low 0
1.
Who settles it (official source)
Polymarket X Tracker "Post Counter" (xtracker.polymarket.com); X itself only as a secondary source · https://xtracker.polymarket.com
2.
Deadline and time zone
Counting window: Fri, Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET → Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET America/New_York
3.
What counts as Yes
Tracker Counter WindowCounts posts inside a fixed window using the venue tracker, not the raw X profile count. Main-feed posts, quote posts and reposts count. Replies are excluded unless they appear on the main feed. Deleted posts still count if live long enough to be captured (~5 minutes). Rule text: "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00…"
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Polymarket resolves strictly on xtracker.polymarket.com (deleted posts count if live ~5 minutes; main-feed replies count), which can diverge from the raw post count on the X profile and from any other venue's counting method.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?: resolution rules & settlement traps · MarketWeaver