MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

Culture

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

57% say yes

Up 20 points today.

Decided by Polymarket X Tracker "Post Counter", by November 16, 2026, 12:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 57¢ means about a 57% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • YesThe count or result in the question is what actually happens.57%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by November 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.43%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price chart
-Yes chance

Loading...

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 10.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 45.5¢ to 55.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com29m ago

  • The price fell 6.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 53.5¢ to 47¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com1h ago

  • The price rose 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 46.5¢ to 50.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com2h ago

  • The price rose 6 points in about 15 minutes, from 35.5¢ to 41.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com4h ago

  • The price rose 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 29.5¢ to 33.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com10h ago

  • The price fell 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 33.5¢ to 28.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com11h ago

  • The price fell 17 points in about 15 minutes, from 43¢ to 26¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com12h ago

  • The price fell 4.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 44.5¢ to 40¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com13h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: tracker count onlySettled by xtracker.polymarket.com
Fine-print risk
Low (0/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Polymarket X Tracker "Post Counter" (xtracker.polymarket.com); X itself only as a secondary source. Counts posts in near real time. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the venue tracker count inside the stated window settles this; the raw count on the X profile does not. Deadline: Counting window: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET → Mon, Nov 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: xtracker.polymarket.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.

    11h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.

By joining you agree to our Privacy Policy.