Other

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Abu Dhabi Championship?

29% say yes

Up 11 points today.

Decided by europeantour.com, by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 29¢ means about a 29% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

YesWhat the question describes actually happens.29%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoIt doesn’t happen.71%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If an unlisted player wins the Abu Dhabi Championship tournament the market settles as "Other".

See all fine print

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules.

Price chart

Yes 29%No 71%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 15.7 points in about 15 minutes, from 37.7¢ to 22¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: europeantour.com8m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by europeantour.com

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on europeantour.com (europeantour.com). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: europeantour.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Abu Dhabi Championship tournament.”
“If no winner is announced by November 15, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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