Esports

Over vs Under: who will win?

>99% say Games Total: O/U 2.5 wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists October 27, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 10, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

This market is about: Games Total: O/U 2.5. The game is scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM .

Possible results

Games Total: O/U 2.5This result happens.>99%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5This result happens.>99%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5This result happens.>99%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5This result happens.>99%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5This result happens.43%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5This result happens.<1%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageThis result happens.<1%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)This result happens.<1%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)This result happens.<1%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)This result happens.<1%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs Spirit (+6.5)This result happens.<1%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-9.5) vs Spirit (+9.5)This result happens.<1%
What has to happen
The question’s answer is yes.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

Why the price is where it is

We haven’t found an official source explaining this yet.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print

If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, the market settles as 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET).

Price chart

Over >99%Under <1%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 24 points in about 15 minutes, from 75.5¢ to 99.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: hltv.org2h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by hltv.org

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

Match / Game Final

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on hltv.org official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 10:00 AM ET (scheduled start). Check overtime/series rules, the postponement hold window (14 days on Polymarket before 50-50) and walkovers: a pre-match forfeit or walkover resolves 50-50 on Polymarket, while sportsbooks usually void the bet and refund.

Source named: hltv.org (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 3 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Contract moved +0.4 points in 15m (99.6¢ → 100.0¢); last-hour volume 3.5× hourly average; contract does not name an official .gov resolution source; spread 0.1¢; depth ±5¢ $16.5k bid / $0 ask.
3m ago
Contract moved +0.0 points in 15m (99.6¢ → 99.6¢); last-hour volume 9.3× hourly average; contract does not name an official .gov resolution source; spread 0.8¢; depth ±5¢ $9.5k bid / $0 ask.
33m ago
Contract moved +0.1 points in 15m (99.5¢ → 99.6¢); last-hour volume 9.3× hourly average; contract does not name an official .gov resolution source; spread 0.8¢; depth ±5¢ $8.7k bid / $0 ask.
1h ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Spirit and MOUZ in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Spirit and MOUZ play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

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