Esports

TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere: who will win?

55% say TheMongolz wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 21, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 55¢ means about a 55% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

TheMongolz and Natus Vincere play a Counter-Strike match, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 1:30 AM .

Possible results

TheMongolzTheMongolz wins.55%
What has to happen
TheMongolz win Map 1 against Natus Vincere.
Natus VincereNatus Vincere wins.45%
What has to happen
Natus Vincere win Map 1 against TheMongolz.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print

If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

TheMongolz 55%Natus Vincere 45%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 23.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 31.5¢ to 54.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: hltv.orgjust now

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by hltv.org

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on hltv.org official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. If postponed, it must be rescheduled to start by Nov 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it settles 50-50. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 1:30 AM ET.

Source named: hltv.org (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org.”
“If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar…”
“If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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