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Cricket

Will South Africa win?

20% say yes

Down 8 points today.

Decided when a champion is named, by October 27, 2026.

Polymarket lists November 3, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until October 27, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 20¢ means about a 20% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

  • YesThe team or player named in the question finishes as the champion.20%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by October 27, 2026.

  • NoSomeone else wins the title.80%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market settles as draw.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 8.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 16¢ to 24¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats19m ago

  • The price fell 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 22.5¢ to 18.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats1h ago

  • The price rose 4.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 19.5¢ to 24¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats3h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by Official league stats
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 4:00 AM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the cricket match between South Africa and Australia scheduled for October 27 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in Test Match. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Will South Africa win?: explained simply · MarketWeaver