MarketWeaver

Cricket

New Zealand vs India: who will win?

87% say India wins

Down 30 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 87¢ means about an 87% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

New Zealand and India play a cricket match at the India Tour of New Zealand .

Possible results

  • New ZealandNew Zealand wins.13%

    What has to happen

    New Zealand beats India, under the rules.

  • IndiaIndia wins.87%

    What has to happen

    India beats New Zealand, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 16.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 29.5¢ to 13¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus5m ago

  • The price fell 4.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 27¢ to 22.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus60m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Fri, Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the match is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
  • “If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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