MarketWeaver

Cricket

UAE vs Oman: who will win?

>99% say UAE wins

Up 34 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 4.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

UAE and Oman play a cricket match at the Cricket World Cup League 2, scheduled for November 4.

Possible results

  • UAEUAE wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    UAE beats Oman, under the rules.

  • OmanOman wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Oman beats UAE, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 4.6 points in about 15 minutes, from 95.4¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: FIFA official52m ago

  • The price rose 22.4 points in about 15 minutes, from 74.5¢ to 96.9¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: FIFA official1h ago

  • The price rose 8.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 87.5¢ to 96¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: FIFA official3h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by FIFA official
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on FIFA official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET.

Source named: FIFA official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • Trading rose to about 9 times the usual hourly amount.

    22m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
  • “If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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