Weather

Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes: who will win?

>99% say the Sydney Sixers win

Up 39 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Sydney Sixers and Hobart Hurricanes play a match at the Big Bash League, Women.

Possible results

Sydney SixersThe Sydney Sixers win.>99%
What has to happen
Sydney Sixers beat Hobart Hurricanes, under the rules.
Hobart HurricanesThe Hobart Hurricanes win.<1%
What has to happen
Hobart Hurricanes beat Sydney Sixers, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print

If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Sydney Sixers >99%Hobart Hurricanes <1%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 13.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 82.5¢ to 96¢. No official release came out at that time.
▲ No official news at the time · nhc.noaa.gov1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsMoved without official news

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the official announcement

Official source: settlement runs on NOAA National Hurricane Center. Price moved +13.5 points (1h ago) without a primary release on the NHC feed in the window.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sun, Nov 8, 2026, 3:10 AM ET.

Next official event: NHC advisory, see the official schedule

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
24m ago
Trading rose to about 9 times the usual hourly amount.
54m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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