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Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes: who will win?

59% say the Melbourne Stars win

Up 17 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 29.

Polymarket lists November 5, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until October 29, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 59¢ means about a 59% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Melbourne Stars and Hobart Hurricanes play a match at the Big Bash League, Women, scheduled for October 29.

Possible results

  • Melbourne StarsThe Melbourne Stars win.59%

    What has to happen

    Melbourne Stars beat Hobart Hurricanes, under the rules.

  • Hobart HurricanesThe Hobart Hurricanes win.41%

    What has to happen

    Hobart Hurricanes beat Melbourne Stars, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 26 points in about 15 minutes, from 84.5¢ to 58.5¢. No official release came out at that time.

    ▲ No official news at the time · nhc.noaa.gov19s ago

  • The price rose 23 points in about 15 minutes, from 62.5¢ to 85.5¢. No official release came out at that time.

    ▲ No official news at the time · nhc.noaa.gov1h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsMoved without official news
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the official announcement

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on NOAA National Hurricane Center. Price moved -26.0 points (19s ago) without a primary release on the NHC feed in the window.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Thu, Oct 29, 2026, 4:10 AM ET.

Next official event: NHC advisory, see the official schedule

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading picked up (about 10 times the usual hourly amount).

    49m ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the cricket match between Melbourne Stars and Hobart Hurricanes scheduled for October 29 2026 at 4:10 AM ET in Big Bash League, Women. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes: explained simply · MarketWeaver