Other

Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Thunder: who will win?

>99% say Sydney Thunder wins

Down 48 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 29.

Polymarket lists November 5, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until October 29, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Melbourne Renegades and Sydney Thunder play a match at the Big Bash League, Women, scheduled for October 29.

Possible results

Melbourne RenegadesThe Melbourne Renegades win.<1%
What has to happen
Melbourne Renegades beat Sydney Thunder, under the rules.
Sydney ThunderSydney Thunder wins.>99%
What has to happen
Sydney Thunder beats Melbourne Renegades, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print

If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Melbourne Renegades <1%Sydney Thunder >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 7.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 7.5¢ to 0.4¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats2m ago
The price fell 10.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 18¢ to 7.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats32m ago
The price fell 8 points in about 15 minutes, from 18.5¢ to 10.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats1h ago
The price fell 13.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 29.5¢ to 16.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats2h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by Official league stats

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Oct 29, 2026, 12:40 AM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the cricket match between Melbourne Renegades and Sydney Thunder scheduled for October 29 2026 at 12:40 AM ET in Big Bash League, Women. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Big trades across all markets