MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

CFB

James Madison vs Troy: who will win?

57% say Troy wins

Down 12 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 29 at 7:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 57¢ means about a 57% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 29 at 7:30 PM ET.

Possible results

  • James MadisonJames Madison wins.43%

    What has to happen

    James Madison win the game by 18 or more points.

  • TroyTroy wins.57%

    What has to happen

    Troy beats James Madison, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 26.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 68.5¢ to 42.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)2m ago

  • The price rose 15.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 65¢ to 80¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)1h ago

  • The price rose 30.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 48.5¢ to 79¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)2h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Oct 29, 2026, 7:30 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 29 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Troy". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Big trades across all markets