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Toledo vs Sacramento State: who will win?

56% say Sacramento State wins

Down 6 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 4 at 7:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 56¢ means about a 56% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 4 at 7:00 PM ET.

Possible results

  • ToledoToledo wins.44%

    What has to happen

    Toledo win the game by 26 or more points.

  • Sacramento StateSacramento State wins.56%

    What has to happen

    Sacramento State beats Toledo, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 39.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 4¢ to 43.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)3m ago

  • The price fell 27.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 50.5¢ to 23¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sacramento State".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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