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CFB

Texas vs Mississippi State: who will win?

76% say the Texas win

Up 26 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31 at 7:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 76¢ means about a 76% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 31 at 7:30 PM ET.

Possible results

  • TexasTexas wins.76%

    What has to happen

    Texas win the game by 21 or more points.

  • Mississippi StateMississippi State wins.24%

    What has to happen

    Mississippi State beats Texas, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 8.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 67.5¢ to 76¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)49s ago

  • The price rose 28.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 39¢ to 67¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)32m ago

  • The price fell 21.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 61.5¢ to 40.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 7:30 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mississippi State".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Spread: Texas (-20.5): explained simply · MarketWeaver