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CFB

Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State: who will win?

54% say New Mexico State wins

Down 2 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 28 at 8:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 54¢ means about a 54% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 28 at 8:00 PM ET.

Possible results

  • Jacksonville StateJacksonville State wins.46%

    What has to happen

    Jacksonville State win the game by 4 or more points.

  • New Mexico StateNew Mexico State wins.54%

    What has to happen

    New Mexico State beats Jacksonville State, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 8:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • Trading picked up (about 10 times the usual hourly amount).

    3h ago

  • Trading picked up (about 10 times the usual hourly amount).

    3h ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jacksonville State" if Jacksonville State win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New Mexico State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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