Soccer

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München: who will win?

96% say FC Bayern München wins

Down 1 point today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 7 at 9:30 AM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 96¢ means about a 96% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 7 at 9:30 AM ET.

Possible results

1. FSV Mainz 051. FSV Mainz 05 wins.4%
What has to happen
1.
FC Bayern MünchenFC Bayern München wins.96%
What has to happen
FC Bayern München beats 1. FSV Mainz 05, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.

Price chart

1. FSV Mainz 05 4%FC Bayern München 96%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Bundesliga official

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Bundesliga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 9:30 AM ET.

Source named: Bundesliga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 3 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 8 times the usual hourly amount.
6m ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
36m ago
Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Bayern München".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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